Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000101 0.000112 0.000124 0.000137 0.000152 0.000168 0.000186
2025-12-14 0.000086 0.000101 0.000118 0.000139 0.000163 0.000191 0.000225
2025-12-21 0.000075 0.000092 0.000112 0.000139 0.000171 0.000211 0.000263
2025-12-28 0.000065 0.000084 0.000107 0.000138 0.000178 0.000229 0.000299
2026-01-04 0.000059 0.000079 0.000104 0.000140 0.000188 0.000251 0.000343
2026-01-11 0.000053 0.000074 0.000101 0.000140 0.000195 0.000271 0.000384
2026-01-18 0.000048 0.000069 0.000097 0.000139 0.000201 0.000289 0.000425
2026-01-25 0.000044 0.000065 0.000094 0.000139 0.000206 0.000306 0.000465
2026-02-01 0.000041 0.000061 0.000091 0.000139 0.000212 0.000324 0.000510
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000057 0.000088 0.000137 0.000216 0.000338 0.000548
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000054 0.000085 0.000136 0.000220 0.000354 0.000590
2026-02-22 0.000032 0.000052 0.000083 0.000136 0.000226 0.000373 0.000639
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000049 0.000080 0.000135 0.000229 0.000388 0.000683
2026-03-08 0.000028 0.000048 0.000080 0.000137 0.000238 0.000414 0.000750
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000046 0.000078 0.000138 0.000245 0.000437 0.000812
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000044 0.000076 0.000137 0.000249 0.000454 0.000867
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000043 0.000076 0.000139 0.000259 0.000483 0.000945
2026-04-05 0.000023 0.000041 0.000074 0.000139 0.000265 0.000505 0.001014
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000040 0.000073 0.000139 0.000270 0.000526 0.001080
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000038 0.000071 0.000138 0.000273 0.000544 0.001143
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000037 0.000070 0.000138 0.000279 0.000566 0.001218
2026-05-03 0.000018 0.000035 0.000068 0.000136 0.000281 0.000581 0.001276
2026-05-10 0.000017 0.000034 0.000066 0.000135 0.000284 0.000599 0.001346